ProbableProbable

Last updated: May 18, 2026

Privacy

We try to keep this simple, because privacy policies are usually unreadable on purpose and ours doesn’t need to be. Here is everything Probable does with your data.

What we collect

Your email address, if you subscribe to our newsletter. That’s the only personal information we ask for.

Anonymous analytics about page visits — which pages are read, roughly where in the world readers come from (country level), and which links are clicked. We do not track you across the internet, and we do not build a profile of you.

How we use it

We use your email to send you the Probable newsletter and, if you’re a paid subscriber in the future, related account information. We do not use it for anything else.

We use the anonymous analytics to understand which stories people actually read and to make the site better. We do not sell this data.

Third parties

We use a small number of trusted services to run Probable, each of which has its own privacy practices:

  • Beehiiv — sends and stores newsletter subscriptions. Your email lives there.
  • Vercel — hosts the website. Standard server request logs apply.
  • Supabase — stores our published briefings, forecasts, and corrections. It does not store any personal reader data.
  • Anthropic — provides the AI models that help draft our analysis. We do not send your personal data to them; only our own editorial inputs.

We will update this list if we ever add another service that touches user data.

What we don't do

We don’t sell your email or any data about you.

We don’t share your data with advertisers or data brokers.

We don’t use invasive tracking pixels or cross-site fingerprinting.

Your rights

You can unsubscribe from the newsletter at any time using the link at the bottom of every email.

You can ask us to delete the data we hold about you. Email privacy@theprobablenews.com and we’ll handle it within 30 days.

Cookies

We use only essential cookies needed for the site to work. We do not use advertising or tracking cookies.

Changes to this policy

If we update this policy, we’ll change the “Last updated” date at the top of this page and note significant changes in the newsletter so subscribers know.

Contact

Privacy questions: privacy@theprobablenews.com

General questions: hello@theprobablenews.com

For how we source and use AI editorially, see our methodology page.